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On the very last point, are you arguing that only the most ideological would vote Democrat at the coming election, so they could only do well with Normie support?

Is it that in normal times Normies can go either left or right so that you get a fairly even split, but more are pushed one way by the abnormal times we are in?

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At best it seems we must suffer our way though the episodes of collective insanity. Quite agree with the the 1/3 division that seems to be a constant. The utopia that lies in he future for the socialistic-communistic believers continues to affect those who don't need to actually live in that world. Those that do know perfectly well that it doesn't work and leads to social failure.

In thinking about the Strong Men-Good Times meme, it seems to relate to our cycling of a huge pendulum of life, but only for those who have the luxury of time to ponder. In times past we had to spend considerable time and energy in staying alive. Seeing this https://medium.com/@masswrites/hard-times-create-strong-men-strong-men-create-good-times-good-times-create-weak-men-weak-men-1b5333657a0a, I see equating strong with physical rather than a strength of character. I found Siebenga blog in my confirmation bias https://www.jansiebenga.com/blog/good-times-create-weak-men-and-weak-men-create-hard-times.

I do think our current period related to that notion of mass hysteria related to the pandemic. We have leaders desperate for political advantage using the tools of a compliant press to sway opinion. That followed by remarkable incompetency in managing society, fearful of any criticism to be a real lack of character. Still, a third thinks all is well while another third is angry both hoping to influence the middle third of their positions.

The coming harder times after a very long period of relative prosperity will likely bring another pendulum swing. Technology has been able to keep Malthus at bay for a very long time but such advancements demand a degree of excess capacity. I suspect we still have enough in the useful third to guide us forward once that red pill arrives for more.

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